Image: Getty Images
The National Center of Meteorology (NCM) has issued a detailed forecast warning of unusual summer weather conditions across the UAE from July 25 to 28, 2025. The rare weather event is being attributed to the influence of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), a key global weather driver that appears to be shifting due to climate change.
The ITCZ—where trade winds from the northern and southern hemispheres converge—is known for triggering heavy rainfall and dense cloud cover. According to global climate models and recent NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) research, the zone’s movement plays a critical role in tropical weather systems. While the ITCZ typically remains south of the Gulf during summer, the latest forecast highlights its abnormal northward expansion, bringing upper-air low pressure, cloud formation, and isolated rain to the UAE.
الحالة الجوية المتوقعة من الجمعة 25 إلى الإثنين 28 يوليو 2025 #حالة_جوية #حالة الطقس #الإمارات #المركز_الوطني_للأرصاد
The expected weather from Friday, 25 to Monday, 28 July 2025 #WeatherCondition #Weather #UAE #NationalCenterOfMeteorology pic.twitter.com/FIQetJmULd
— المركز الوطني للأرصاد (@ncmuae) July 24, 2025
This rare extension of low pressure in the upper atmosphere, combined with the interaction of northeasterly and westerly winds, is expected to result in rainy areas and cloud development across parts of the country, the NCM stated.
