World Property Ventures, a Miami-based real estate technology and digital finance firm, has begun development this week on REAL ESTATE PREDICTIONS (REP), a groundbreaking decentralized events contract exchange slated to launch in 2026. Positioned as a first-of-its-kind federally regulated platform, REP will enable global users to bet on — or hedge against — future outcomes in the real estate and mortgage markets, including pricing trends, interest rate moves, housing activity, and other industry-defining events.
The platform will operate as a Designated Contract Market (DCM) under the oversight of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This federal designation places REP in the same regulatory tier as traditional futures exchanges, giving it legal authority to list binary outcome contracts — an emerging asset class that allows traders and institutions to speculate on or hedge against real-world events in highly specific and structured ways.
Michael Gerrity
“This is about turning the world’s real estate headlines into tradable instruments,” said Michael Gerrity, founder and CEO of World Property Ventures. “REP will be the financial markets of everyday life — built to serve consumers, speculators and the professional risk manager.”
A New Frontier in Derivatives Trading
REP aims to redefine how market participants engage with economic uncertainty. Its platform will allow users to trade event contracts tied to specific binary outcomes — from whether home prices in Los Angeles will fall this quarter, to whether mortgage rates will exceed 7% next month, or whether housing starts in Texas will surpass a defined benchmark.
The event contracts, while simple in structure (typically paying out if an event occurs, paying zero if not), offer outsized value through high-frequency, high-volatility trading opportunities. More importantly, REP’s offerings are uncorrelated to traditional equities or fixed-income markets — making them particularly attractive to hedge funds, macro traders, and fintech platforms seeking diversification.
Real Estate Meets Behavioral Markets
By blending probabilistic forecasting, derivatives infrastructure, and behavioral finance, REP introduces a novel layer of market intelligence. Aggregated user sentiment — measured via trading flows and contract pricing — offers a predictive lens into real estate, mortgage, and macroeconomic outcomes.
For institutions, these signals represent real-time indicators of crowd expectations. For individuals, they present a legal, accessible way to express market convictions — or hedge against localized risks, such as weather events or regulatory actions.
“Whether you’re hedging the risk of a hurricane hitting South Florida or betting on whether the Fed hikes rates at its next meeting, REP makes that trade possible,” said Gerrity.
Strategic Implications
REP is launching into a market environment increasingly hungry for alternative financial products that intersect with real-world outcomes. Its fusion of real estate, regulated financial markets, and behavioral betting could position it as a bridge between Wall Street, Main Street, and the predictive internet.
With sports betting platforms, prediction markets, and retail trading apps all converging on user-friendly speculation, REP’s regulatory legitimacy and real estate specificity may give it a defensible niche in the exploding alt-derivatives ecosystem.
What’s Next
Construction of REP’s technical infrastructure is now underway, with platform beta testing scheduled to begin in mid-2026. If successful, REP could become a foundational market for trading on the future of the real world — in real time.
